Polymarket Bets Show 76% Probability of US Government Shutdown in 2025 Amid Funding Deadlock
Prediction market Polymarket reveals 76% of users are betting on a US government shutdown in 2025, as Senate gridlock blocks both Republican and Democratic funding plans. The crypto market remains largely unmoved by the political turmoil.
Senators adjourned until September 29 after failing to pass stopgap measures, escalating shutdown risks. Former President TRUMP openly acknowledged the possibility, stating "you could very well end up with a closed country for a period of time" while blaming Democrats for the impasse.
Short-term bets show even greater conviction, with 64% of Polymarket participants wagering on a shutdown by October 1. The platform's data visualization clearly displays the market's bearish outlook on Washington's ability to resolve the funding crisis.
